Queensland NPL · Australia
Lions vs Brisbane Roar II prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lions 2.8 – 0.9 Brisbane Roar II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Lions are clear favourites at home with a 74% chance of winning, against 7% for Brisbane Roar II.
Lions have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.3 per game. Brisbane Roar II have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.8 goals (2.8 for Lions, 0.9 for Brisbane Roar II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (9%), 3–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Lions have won 1, Brisbane Roar II have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.36.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lions to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.18 |
| Double chance | Lions or draw ✓ | 93% | 1.07 | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.70 |
| Half-time result | Lions ahead at half-time ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lions / FT Lions ✗ | 54% | 1.87 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 9% | 10.71 | – |
Form
Lions – last 6
| 1 Aug | vs Peninsula Power | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | vs Perth Glory | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Jul | @ Gold Coast United | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | vs Eastern Suburbs | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Jul | @ Gold Coast Knights | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Jul | vs Olympic | 2–0 | W |
Brisbane Roar II – last 6
| 2 Aug | vs Moreton City Excelsior | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Jul | @ Olympic | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Jul | vs Rochedale Rovers | 4–1 | W |
| 5 Jul | @ Brisbane City | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Jun | @ Peninsula Power | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Jun | @ Gold Coast United | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
| 15 May 2026 | Brisbane Roar II v Lions | 1–3 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lions vs Brisbane Roar II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lions vs Brisbane Roar II?
On our numbers Lions have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Brisbane Roar II 7%.
How many goals will there be in Lions vs Brisbane Roar II?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Lions vs Brisbane Roar II?
Lions vs Brisbane Roar II (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.