Victoria NPL · Australia · Avenger park
Avondale vs Hume City prediction & analysis
Avondale to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Avondale 2.3 – 1.2 Hume City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Avondale are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 21% for Hume City.
Avondale have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Hume City have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.5 goals (2.3 for Avondale, 1.2 for Hume City). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Avondale have won 0, Hume City have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Avondale to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Avondale to win ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.45 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.65 |
| Half-time result | Avondale ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Avondale / FT Avondale ✓ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.38 | – |
Form
Avondale – last 6
| 22 Aug | @ Altona Magic | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Sunshine Georgies | 2–3 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Heidelberg United | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jul | @ Melbourne City II | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Jul | vs St. Albans Saints | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Jul | @ Oakleigh Cannons | 0–2 | L |
Hume City – last 6
| 22 Aug | vs Sunshine Georgies | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Heidelberg United | 5–4 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Melbourne City II | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Jul | @ St. Albans Saints | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Jul | vs Oakleigh Cannons | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Jul | @ Preston Lions | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 16 May 2026 | Hume City v Avondale | 3–0 |
More Victoria NPL predictions
Heidelberg United2
Bentleigh Greens0
Oakleigh Cannons2
Dandenong City3
Sunshine Georgies1
South Melbourne0
Preston Lions1
Altona Magic1
St. Albans Saints6
Dandenong Thunder0
Melbourne City II1
Green Gully2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Avondale vs Hume City?
Our pick is Avondale to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Avondale vs Hume City?
On our numbers Avondale have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Hume City 21%.
How many goals will there be in Avondale vs Hume City?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Avondale vs Hume City?
Avondale vs Hume City (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Avenger park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.