Victoria NPL · Australia · Jack Edwards Reserve
Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne prediction & analysis
Oakleigh Cannons to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Oakleigh Cannons 2.0 – 1.0 South Melbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Oakleigh Cannons are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 23% for South Melbourne.
Oakleigh Cannons have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.7 per game. South Melbourne have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. Oakleigh Cannons come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for Oakleigh Cannons, 1.0 for South Melbourne). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Oakleigh Cannons have won 1, South Melbourne have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Oakleigh Cannons to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Oakleigh Cannons to win ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.53 |
| Half-time result | Oakleigh Cannons ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Oakleigh Cannons / FT Oakleigh Cannons ✗ | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.05 | – |
Form
Oakleigh Cannons – last 6
| 18 Jul | @ Hume City | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Jul | vs Avondale | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Jul | @ Sunshine Georgies | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jun | @ Heidelberg United | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Jun | vs Melbourne City II | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Jun | vs St. Albans Saints | 2–2 | D |
South Melbourne – last 6
| 18 Jul | vs Preston Lions | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Jul | @ Dandenong City | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Jul | vs Dandenong Thunder | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | vs Green Gully | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Jun | @ Bentleigh Greens | 5–1 | W |
| 7 Jun | vs Altona Magic | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
| 19 Apr 2026 | South Melbourne v Oakleigh Cannons | 0–3 |
More Victoria NPL predictions
Heidelberg United0
Sunshine Georgies0
Green Gully0
Dandenong City0
St. Albans Saints3
Hume City2
Preston Lions1
Bentleigh Greens0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?
Our pick is Oakleigh Cannons to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?
On our numbers Oakleigh Cannons have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 14% and South Melbourne 23%.
How many goals will there be in Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?
Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at Jack Edwards Reserve.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.