Serie B · Brazil
Goias
Ponte Preta
Goias vs Ponte Preta prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Goias 2.4 – 0.6 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Goias are clear favourites at home with a 77% chance of winning, against 6% for Ponte Preta.
Goias have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Ponte Preta have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded. Goias come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.4 for Goias, 0.6 for Ponte Preta). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (14%), 1–0 (12%), 3–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Goias have won 1, Ponte Preta have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.25 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Goias to win ✓ | 77% | 1.31 | 1.12 |
| Double chance | Goias or draw ✓ | 94% | 1.07 | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 2.25 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.80 |
| Half-time result | Goias ahead at half-time ✗ | 56% | 1.77 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Goias / FT Goias ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.03 | – |
Form
Goias – last 6
| 3 Nov | vs CRB | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | @ Ceara | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | vs Nautico Recife | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Operario-PR | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Athletic Club | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Oct | @ Novorizontino | 0–3 | L |
Ponte Preta – last 6
| 30 Oct | @ Criciuma | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Fortaleza EC | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Oct | vs Atletico Goianiense | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | @ Novorizontino | 1–5 | L |
| 7 Oct | vs Juventude | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Cuiaba | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 18 Jul 2026 | Ponte Preta v Goias | 1–2 |
More Serie B predictions
Nautico Recife0
CRB3
2CRB to win
71%@1.38
✓
FT
Athletic Club2
Atletico Goianiense3
X2Atletico Goianiense or draw
82%@1.22
✓
FT
Ceara0
America Mineiro1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
77%@1.25
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Goias vs Ponte Preta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Goias vs Ponte Preta?
On our numbers Goias have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ponte Preta 6%.
How many goals will there be in Goias vs Ponte Preta?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Goias vs Ponte Preta?
Goias vs Ponte Preta (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.