Serie B · Brazil

Ceara

LLDLW
0–1
FT

America Mineiro

WWWLL

Ceara vs America Mineiro prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Ceara to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultCeara to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceCeara or draw ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.36

Win chances

Ceara64%fair 1.56 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.60
America Mineiro16%fair 6.43 · @4.75
2.39Expected goals
1.72Ceara xG
0.67America Mineiro xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Ceara 1.7 – 0.7 America Mineiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Ceara are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 16% for America Mineiro.

Ceara have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. America Mineiro have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.7 for Ceara, 0.7 for America Mineiro). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (11%).

In their last 1 meeting, Ceara have won 0, America Mineiro have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.31. For a bigger price, Ceara to win at 1.73 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCeara to win ✗64%1.561.73 ▲
Double chanceCeara or draw ✗84%1.181.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.892.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.431.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.311.25
Half-time resultCeara ahead at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ceara / FT Ceara ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.36–

Form

Ceara – last 6

LLDLWW
2 Nov@ Athletic Club1–2L
28 Octvs Goias0–2L
17 Octvs Juventude2–2D
13 Oct@ Botafogo SP0–1L
8 Octvs Criciuma1–0W
3 Oct@ Avai1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

America Mineiro – last 6

WWWLLL
1 Nov@ Londrina3–1W
26 Octvs Cuiaba1–0W
17 Octvs Operario-PR1–0W
12 Oct@ Criciuma0–1L
8 Octvs Fortaleza EC0–1L
3 Oct@ Atletico Goianiense0–2L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Jul 2026America Mineiro v Ceara1–1

More Serie B predictions

FT Nautico Recife0 CRB3 92171 2CRB to win 71%@1.38 ✓ FT Athletic Club2 Atletico Goianiense3 182062 X2Atletico Goianiense or draw 82%@1.22 ✓ FT Goias1 Ponte Preta0 77176 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 58%@1.80 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ceara vs America Mineiro?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Ceara vs America Mineiro?

On our numbers Ceara have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and America Mineiro 16%.

How many goals will there be in Ceara vs America Mineiro?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

When is Ceara vs America Mineiro?

Ceara vs America Mineiro (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.