Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Santa CruzBotafogo SP vs Londrina prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.7 – 0.8 Londrina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Botafogo SP are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 17% for Londrina.
Botafogo SP have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Londrina have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Botafogo SP come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 for Botafogo SP, 0.8 for Londrina). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Botafogo SP have won 0, Londrina have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.37.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Botafogo SP to win ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.73 |
| Double chance | Botafogo SP or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Botafogo SP ahead at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Botafogo SP / FT Botafogo SP ✓ | 37% | 2.69 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.36 | – |
Form
Botafogo SP – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Sport Recife | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Avai | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ CRB | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Ceara | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | @ Operario-PR | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Vila Nova | 0–1 | L |
Londrina – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs America Mineiro | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ CRB | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Cuiaba | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | @ Athletic Club | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Oct | @ Avai | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Criciuma | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 18 Jul 2026 | Londrina v Botafogo SP | 0–0 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP vs Londrina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Londrina?
On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Londrina 17%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Londrina?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Botafogo SP vs Londrina?
Botafogo SP vs Londrina (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Cruz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.