Serie B · Brazil · Arena PantanalCuiaba vs São Bernardo prediction & analysis
Cuiaba to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cuiaba 1.5 – 0.6 São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cuiaba are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 15% for São Bernardo.
Cuiaba have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. São Bernardo have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. São Bernardo come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.5 for Cuiaba, 0.6 for São Bernardo). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (14%), 0–0 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, Cuiaba have won 0, São Bernardo have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Cuiaba to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is better than our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cuiaba to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Double chance | Cuiaba or draw ✗ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cuiaba / FT Cuiaba ✗ | 37% | 2.71 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.39 | – |
Form
Cuiaba – last 6
| 26 Oct | @ America Mineiro | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | @ Londrina | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Avai | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Oct | @ Vila Nova | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Ponte Preta | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ CRB | 0–3 | L |
São Bernardo – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Vila Nova | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Criciuma | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Juventude | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Oct | @ Sport Recife | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs CRB | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Sep | @ Novorizontino | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 12 Jul 2026 | São Bernardo v Cuiaba | 2–2 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cuiaba vs São Bernardo?
Our pick is Cuiaba to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Cuiaba vs São Bernardo?
On our numbers Cuiaba have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and São Bernardo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cuiaba vs São Bernardo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Cuiaba vs São Bernardo?
Cuiaba vs São Bernardo (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pantanal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.