Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Heriberto HülseCriciuma vs Ponte Preta prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Criciuma 1.8 – 0.5 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Criciuma are clear favourites at home with a 73% chance of winning, against 12% for Ponte Preta.
Criciuma have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.5 per game. Ponte Preta have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded. Criciuma come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.8 for Criciuma, 0.5 for Ponte Preta). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 2–0 (16%), 3–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Criciuma have won 1, Ponte Preta have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.84.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Criciuma to win ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.08 |
| Double chance | Criciuma or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Half-time result | Criciuma ahead at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Criciuma / FT Criciuma ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.59 | – |
Form
Criciuma – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Sport Recife | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ São Bernardo | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | vs America Mineiro | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Oct | @ Ceara | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Londrina | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Avai | 3–0 | W |
Ponte Preta – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Fortaleza EC | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Oct | vs Atletico Goianiense | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | @ Novorizontino | 1–5 | L |
| 7 Oct | vs Juventude | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Cuiaba | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | @ Botafogo SP | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 9 Jul 2026 | Ponte Preta v Criciuma | 1–2 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?
On our numbers Criciuma have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Ponte Preta 12%.
How many goals will there be in Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?
Criciuma vs Ponte Preta (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heriberto Hülse.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.