Serie B · Brazil · Arena IndependênciaAmerica Mineiro vs Cuiaba prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: America Mineiro 0.8 – 1.2 Cuiaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cuiaba shade it despite being away from home – 49% to win, against 29% for America Mineiro.
America Mineiro have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Cuiaba have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Cuiaba come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.0 goals (0.8 for America Mineiro, 1.2 for Cuiaba). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (16%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, America Mineiro have won 0, Cuiaba have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.83 is close to our fair price of 1.87.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cuiaba to win ✗ | 49% | 2.03 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cuiaba / FT Cuiaba ✗ | 26% | 3.87 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 16% | 6.15 | – |
Form
America Mineiro – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Operario-PR | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | @ Criciuma | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Oct | vs Fortaleza EC | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Atletico Goianiense | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | vs Juventude | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | @ Vila Nova | 0–1 | L |
Cuiaba – last 6
| 20 Oct | @ Londrina | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Avai | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Oct | @ Vila Nova | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Ponte Preta | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ CRB | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Nautico Recife | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
| 3 Jul 2026 | Cuiaba v America Mineiro | 1–0 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?
On our numbers America Mineiro have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cuiaba 49%.
How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?
America Mineiro vs Cuiaba (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Independência.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.