Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Santa CruzBotafogo SP vs Ceara prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Ceara to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.2 – 1.2 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Botafogo SP and Ceara on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Botafogo SP have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Ceara have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. Ceara come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for Botafogo SP, 1.2 for Ceara). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Botafogo SP have won 1, Ceara have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.00 is better than our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Ceara to win at 3.25 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Botafogo SP to win ✓ | 37% | 2.69 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Botafogo SP / FT Botafogo SP ✗ | 20% | 4.93 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 11% | 8.71 | – |
Form
Botafogo SP – last 6
| 7 Oct | @ Operario-PR | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Vila Nova | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Ponte Preta | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Athletic Club | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | vs Goias | 1–3 | L |
| 9 Sep | vs Novorizontino | 1–3 | L |
Ceara – last 6
| 8 Oct | vs Criciuma | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Avai | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Operario-PR | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Novorizontino | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Fortaleza EC | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Sep | @ Atletico Goianiense | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 20 Jun 2026 | Ceara v Botafogo SP | 0–1 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP vs Ceara?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Ceara?
On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ceara 37%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Botafogo SP vs Ceara?
Botafogo SP vs Ceara (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Cruz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.