K3 League · South-Korea
Yangpyeong
Dangjin Citizen
Yangpyeong vs Dangjin Citizen prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Value bet: Dangjin Citizen to win @ 2.25 – our chance 47% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Yangpyeong 1.4 – 1.7 Dangjin Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Dangjin Citizen shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 32% for Yangpyeong.
Yangpyeong have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. Dangjin Citizen have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. Dangjin Citizen come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.4 for Yangpyeong, 1.7 for Dangjin Citizen). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Yangpyeong have won 0, Dangjin Citizen have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.54. For a bigger price, Dangjin Citizen to win at 2.25 is our value angle (47% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Dangjin Citizen to win ✓ | 47% | 2.11 | 2.25 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.16 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.46 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 39% | 2.60 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Dangjin Citizen / FT Dangjin Citizen ✓ | 28% | 3.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.84 | – |
Form
Yangpyeong – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Gangneung City | 0–3 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Ulsan Citizen | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Changwon City | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Pocheon | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Siheung Citizen | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Daejeon Korail | 1–2 | L |
Dangjin Citizen – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Siheung Citizen | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Daejeon Korail | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Gyeongju HNP | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Busan Transportation | 5–3 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Chuncheon | 3–4 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Yeoju Sejong | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 30 May 2026 | Dangjin Citizen v Yangpyeong | 3–1 |
More K3 League predictions
Busan Transportation4
Jeonbuk Motors II0
1Busan Transportation to win
69%@1.28
✓
FT
Changwon City0
Gangneung City1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.27
✓
FT
Daejeon Korail1
Yeoju Sejong1
1Daejeon Korail to win
67%@1.63
✗
FT
Gyeongju HNP3
Chuncheon2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
64%@1.42
✗
FT
Mokpo City0
Siheung Citizen0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
69%@1.38
✓
FT
Pocheon0
Ulsan Citizen0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
72%@1.31
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Yangpyeong vs Dangjin Citizen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Yangpyeong vs Dangjin Citizen?
On our numbers Yangpyeong have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dangjin Citizen 47%.
How many goals will there be in Yangpyeong vs Dangjin Citizen?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Yangpyeong vs Dangjin Citizen?
Yangpyeong vs Dangjin Citizen (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.