K3 League · South-Korea
Changwon City
Gangneung City
Changwon City vs Gangneung City prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Changwon City 1.3 – 1.2 Gangneung City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Changwon City and Gangneung City on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Changwon City have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. Gangneung City have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. Gangneung City come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Changwon City, 1.2 for Gangneung City). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Changwon City have won 1, Gangneung City have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.27 is close to our fair price of 1.36.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Changwon City to win ✗ | 40% | 2.49 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.68 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.26 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.79 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.27 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Changwon City / FT Changwon City ✗ | 22% | 4.51 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.31 | – |
Form
Changwon City – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Ulsan Citizen | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Pocheon | 1–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Yangpyeong | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Gyeongju HNP | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Siheung Citizen | 1–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Daejeon Korail | 0–1 | L |
Gangneung City – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Yangpyeong | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Siheung Citizen | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Oct | @ Daejeon Korail | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Gyeongju HNP | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Busan Transportation | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Jeonbuk Motors II | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 30 May 2026 | Gangneung City v Changwon City | 0–1 |
More K3 League predictions
Busan Transportation4
Jeonbuk Motors II0
1Busan Transportation to win
69%@1.28
✓
FT
Daejeon Korail1
Yeoju Sejong1
1Daejeon Korail to win
67%@1.63
✗
FT
Gyeongju HNP3
Chuncheon2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
64%@1.42
✗
FT
Mokpo City0
Siheung Citizen0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
69%@1.38
✓
FT
Pocheon0
Ulsan Citizen0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
72%@1.31
✓
FT
Yangpyeong2
Dangjin Citizen4
GGBoth teams to score
65%@1.50
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Gangneung City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Changwon City vs Gangneung City?
On our numbers Changwon City have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gangneung City 36%.
How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Gangneung City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Changwon City vs Gangneung City?
Changwon City vs Gangneung City (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.