Esiliiga A · Estonia

FC Tallinn

LWLLW
1–0
FT

Tallinna Kalev

DWLLL

FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Tallinna Kalev to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.74 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.74Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultTallinna Kalev to win ✗62% · @1.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗71% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.75

Win chances

FC Tallinn23%fair 4.36 · @3.46
Draw15%fair 6.86 · @4.10
Tallinna Kalev62%fair 1.60 · @1.74
3.66Expected goals
1.32FC Tallinn xG
2.34Tallinna Kalev xG
71%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%

From our goals model: FC Tallinn 1.3 – 2.3 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Tallinna Kalev travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 23% for FC Tallinn.

FC Tallinn have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 4.2 per game. Tallinna Kalev have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.

We expect around 3.7 goals (1.3 for FC Tallinn, 2.3 for Tallinna Kalev). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 1–3 (7%).

In their last 3 meetings, FC Tallinn have won 0, Tallinna Kalev have won 1 and 2 ended level, with an average of 3.3 goals per game.

Our pick is Tallinna Kalev to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.74 is better than our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTallinna Kalev to win ✗62%1.601.74 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.171.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗71%1.421.28
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗88%1.141.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72%1.391.24
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗52%1.921.69
Half-time resultTallinna Kalev ahead at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tallinna Kalev / FT Tallinna Kalev ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.75–

Form

FC Tallinn – last 6

LWLLWL
1 Nov@ Nõmme United II1–3L
24 Oct@ Nõmme Kalju II2–1W
19 Octvs Viimsi0–3L
15 Octvs Tartu Welco0–7L
10 Oct@ Flora II2–1W
3 Octvs Laagri0–10L
0.8Scored / game
4.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Tallinna Kalev – last 6

DWLLLL
1 Nov@ Elva0–0D
29 Octvs Nõmme Kalju II3–1W
23 Oct@ Tartu Welco2–3L
19 Octvs FCI Levadia II1–2L
10 Octvs Viimsi1–2L
24 Sep@ Elva2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026Tallinna Kalev v FC Tallinn1–1
14 May 2026FC Tallinn v Tallinna Kalev1–1
15 Mar 2026Tallinna Kalev v FC Tallinn5–1

More Esiliiga A predictions

FT Elva2 Nõmme United II1 392139 GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.28 ✓ FT Flora II0 FCI Levadia II2 392041 O3.5Over 3.5 goals 59%@1.51 ✗ FT Viimsi10 Nõmme Kalju II0 691615 GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.55 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

Our pick is Tallinna Kalev to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.74.

Who will win FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

On our numbers FC Tallinn have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Tallinna Kalev 62%.

How many goals will there be in FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

When is FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.