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New South Wales NPL · Australia · Marconi Stadium

Marconi Stallions vs St George City FA prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultMarconi Stallions to win ✗70% · @1.35
Double chanceMarconi Stallions or draw ✗87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.05

Win chances

Marconi Stallions70%fair 1.44 · @1.35
Draw18%fair 5.64 · @4.10
St George City FA13%fair 7.93 · @8.80
2.63Expected goals
1.97Marconi Stallions xG
0.66St George City FA xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Marconi Stallions 2.0 – 0.7 St George City FA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Marconi Stallions are clear favourites at home with a 70% chance of winning, against 13% for St George City FA.

Marconi Stallions have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5 per game. St George City FA have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Marconi Stallions come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.6 goals (2.0 for Marconi Stallions, 0.7 for St George City FA). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Marconi Stallions have won 1, St George City FA have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.05 is our value angle (53% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarconi Stallions to win ✗70%1.441.35
Double chanceMarconi Stallions or draw ✗87%1.141.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.892.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.351.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%1.991.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.421.36
Half-time resultMarconi Stallions ahead at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Marconi Stallions / FT Marconi Stallions ✗44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.05–

Form

Marconi Stallions – last 6

LLWWWW
25 Jul@ SD Raiders1–2L
19 Julvs Sydney United0–1L
12 Julvs Western Sydney Wanderers U233–0W
5 Julvs St. George Saints2–0W
28 Junvs Blacktown City2–0W
21 Junvs UNSW1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

St George City FA – last 6

WLLDLW
25 Julvs Sydney United1–0W
19 Jul@ Blacktown City0–3L
11 Julvs UNSW0–2L
5 Jul@ Wollongong Wolves3–3D
27 Jun@ SD Raiders1–3L
20 Junvs NWS Spirit1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Apr 2026St George City FA v Marconi Stallions1–2

More New South Wales NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marconi Stallions vs St George City FA?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Marconi Stallions vs St George City FA?

On our numbers Marconi Stallions have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and St George City FA 13%.

How many goals will there be in Marconi Stallions vs St George City FA?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

When is Marconi Stallions vs St George City FA?

Marconi Stallions vs St George City FA (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Marconi Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.