Super League · Uzbekistan · Milliy StadiumBunyodkor vs Xorazm prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Bunyodkor to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bunyodkor 1.4 – 1.2 Xorazm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bunyodkor hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 34% for Xorazm.
Bunyodkor have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Xorazm have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded. Bunyodkor come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 for Bunyodkor, 1.2 for Xorazm). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Bunyodkor have won 1, Xorazm have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Bunyodkor to win at 2.55 is our value angle (44% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bunyodkor to win ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | 2.55 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.61 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.32 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bunyodkor / FT Bunyodkor ✗ | 25% | 4.06 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.50 | – |
Form
Bunyodkor – last 6
| 22 Oct | vs Mash'al | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Oct | vs Sogdiana | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | @ Pakhtakor | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Buxoro | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Sep | vs Lokomotiv | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Sep | @ Nasaf | 0–3 | L |
Xorazm – last 6
| 30 Oct | vs Pakhtakor | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | vs Navbahor | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | @ Surkhon | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Oct | @ Neftchi | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Sep | vs Qizilqum | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Olmaliq | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 18 Mar 2026 | Xorazm v Bunyodkor | 1–2 |
Super League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 26 | +38 | 61 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 27 | +22 | 59 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 27 | +21 | 55 |
| 4 |  Nasaf | 27 | +15 | 45 |
| 5 |  Olmaliq | 27 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv | 27 | +10 | 43 |
| 7 |  Buxoro | 27 | +4 | 42 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 27 | +2 | 37 |
| 9 |  Qizilqum | 27 | -7 | 35 |
| 10 |  Surkhon | 27 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 |  Andijan | 27 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 |  Sogdiana | 27 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 |  Xorazm | 27 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |  Bunyodkor | 26 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 |  Kokand-1912 | 27 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 27 | -41 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bunyodkor vs Xorazm?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bunyodkor vs Xorazm?
On our numbers Bunyodkor have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Xorazm 34%.
How many goals will there be in Bunyodkor vs Xorazm?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Bunyodkor vs Xorazm?
Bunyodkor vs Xorazm (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Milliy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.