Super League · Uzbekistan · Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi
Qizilqum
Navbahor
Qizilqum vs Navbahor prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.04 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Qizilqum 0.7 – 1.7 Navbahor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Navbahor travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 16% for Qizilqum.
Qizilqum have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.5 per game. Navbahor have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Navbahor come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.7 for Qizilqum, 1.7 for Navbahor). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Qizilqum have won 0, Navbahor have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.24 is close to our fair price of 1.34. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.04 is our value angle (54% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Navbahor to win ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Navbahor or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 2.04 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.24 |
| Half-time result | Navbahor ahead at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Navbahor / FT Navbahor ✓ | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 15% | 6.89 | – |
Form
Qizilqum – last 6
| 30 Oct | @ Kokand-1912 | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Lokomotiv | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Oct | @ Andijan | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Surkhon | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Sep | @ Xorazm | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Sep | @ Dinamo Samarqand | 0–1 | L |
Navbahor – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Andijan | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | @ Xorazm | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Gazalkent | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Pakhtakor | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Olmaliq | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Sep | vs Dinamo Samarqand | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
| 23 Jul 2026 | Navbahor v Qizilqum | 1–1 |
More Super League predictions
Andijan1
Lokomotiv3
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
73%@1.24
✗
FT
Mash'al0
Surkhon0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
75%@1.26
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Qizilqum vs Navbahor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Qizilqum vs Navbahor?
On our numbers Qizilqum have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Navbahor 61%.
How many goals will there be in Qizilqum vs Navbahor?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Qizilqum vs Navbahor?
Qizilqum vs Navbahor (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.