Super League · Uzbekistan · Bahrom Vafoev Stadium

Mash'al

LLLLL
0–0
FT

Surkhon

DDDDW

Mash'al vs Surkhon prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.26Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSurkhon to win ✗70% · @1.39
Double chanceSurkhon or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.03
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.96

Win chances

Mash'al11%fair 9.05 · @6.20
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @4.15
Surkhon70%fair 1.42 · @1.39
2.41Expected goals
0.54Mash'al xG
1.86Surkhon xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–117%
0–216%
0–310%
1–19%
0–09%
1–29%

From our goals model: Mash'al 0.5 – 1.9 Surkhon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Surkhon travel as clear favourites – 70% to win, against 11% for Mash'al.

Mash'al have taken 0 points from their last 6 matches (0W 0D 6L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 2.3 per game. Surkhon have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. Surkhon come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.4 goals (0.5 for Mash'al, 1.9 for Surkhon). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (17%), 0–2 (16%), 0–3 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Mash'al have won 0, Surkhon have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.26 is close to our fair price of 1.34.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSurkhon to win ✗70%1.421.39
Double chanceSurkhon or draw ✓89%1.121.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.962.03
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.421.26
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.26
Half-time resultSurkhon ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Surkhon / FT Surkhon ✗44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17%5.96–

Form

Mash'al – last 6

LLLLLL
31 Octvs Dinamo Samarqand0–3L
22 Oct@ Bunyodkor1–2L
15 Octvs Olmaliq0–1L
9 Oct@ Kokand-19120–3L
19 Sepvs Pakhtakor1–2L
11 Sep@ Lokomotiv0–3L
0.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Surkhon – last 6

DDDDWL
31 Octvs Nasaf1–1D
23 Oct@ Buxoro0–0D
16 Octvs Xorazm0–0D
10 Oct@ Qizilqum0–0D
20 Sepvs Kokand-19121–0W
9 Sep@ Neftchi1–2L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Surkhon v Mash'al2–1

More Super League predictions

FT Andijan1 Lokomotiv3 362341 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.24 ✗ FT Qizilqum0 Navbahor1 162361 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.24 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mash'al vs Surkhon?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Mash'al vs Surkhon?

On our numbers Mash'al have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Surkhon 70%.

How many goals will there be in Mash'al vs Surkhon?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

When is Mash'al vs Surkhon?

Mash'al vs Surkhon (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Bahrom Vafoev Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.