Super League · Uzbekistan · Istiqlol Stadium
Neftchi
Olmaliq
Neftchi vs Olmaliq prediction & analysis
Neftchi to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Neftchi 2.2 – 0.9 Olmaliq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Neftchi are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 13% for Olmaliq.
Neftchi have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.3 per game. Olmaliq have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Olmaliq come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.2 for Neftchi, 0.9 for Olmaliq). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Neftchi have won 0, Olmaliq have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Neftchi to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.49 is close to our fair price of 1.54.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Neftchi to win ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.49 |
| Double chance | Neftchi or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.54 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.11 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.46 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| Half-time result | Neftchi ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Neftchi / FT Neftchi ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.26 | – |
Form
Neftchi – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ Tractor Sazi | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Oct | vs Al-Ittihad FC | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Oct | @ Pakhtakor | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Lokomotiv | 2–4 | L |
| 16 Oct | @ Kokand-1912 | 4–2 | W |
| 12 Oct | @ Al-Nassr | 1–3 | L |
Olmaliq – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Lokomotiv | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Kokand-1912 | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs PFK Guliston | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | @ Mash'al | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Navbahor | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Sogdiana | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 3 May 2026 | Olmaliq v Neftchi | 0–0 |
More Super League predictions
Buxoro0
Nasaf1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.23
✓
FT
Pakhtakor3
Kokand-19121
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.20
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Neftchi vs Olmaliq?
Our pick is Neftchi to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Neftchi vs Olmaliq?
On our numbers Neftchi have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Olmaliq 13%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi vs Olmaliq?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Neftchi vs Olmaliq?
Neftchi vs Olmaliq (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Istiqlol Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.