Super League · Uzbekistan · Buxoro FA Stadioni
Buxoro
Nasaf
Buxoro vs Nasaf prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Buxoro 1.0 – 1.5 Nasaf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Nasaf shade it despite being away from home – 50% to win, against 29% for Buxoro.
Buxoro have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Nasaf have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.0 for Buxoro, 1.5 for Nasaf). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Buxoro have won 0, Nasaf have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.35.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Nasaf to win ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.98 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.78 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.71 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Nasaf / FT Nasaf ✗ | 28% | 3.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 12% | 8.52 | – |
Form
Buxoro – last 6
| 30 Oct | @ Sogdiana | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Oct | vs Surkhon | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Dinamo Samarqand | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Andijan | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Bunyodkor | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Navbahor | 1–4 | L |
Nasaf – last 6
| 4 Nov | @ Al Kuwait | 3–2 | W |
| 31 Oct | @ Surkhon | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Oct | vs Al Kuwait | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Sogdiana | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Lokomotiv | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Oct | vs Al Wahda FC | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 13 Apr 2026 | Nasaf v Buxoro | 1–1 |
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Buxoro vs Nasaf?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Buxoro vs Nasaf?
On our numbers Buxoro have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nasaf 50%.
How many goals will there be in Buxoro vs Nasaf?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Buxoro vs Nasaf?
Buxoro vs Nasaf (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Buxoro FA Stadioni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.