Super League · Uzbekistan · Stadion SurkhonSurkhon vs Nasaf prediction & analysis
Nasaf or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Surkhon 0.7 – 1.5 Nasaf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Nasaf shade it despite being away from home – 56% to win, against 18% for Surkhon.
Surkhon have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 0.3 per game. Nasaf have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (0.7 for Surkhon, 1.5 for Nasaf). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (17%), 0–2 (12%), 0–0 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, Surkhon have won 1, Nasaf have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Nasaf or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.22.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Nasaf to win ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.83 |
| Double chance | Nasaf or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Nasaf / FT Nasaf ✗ | 33% | 2.99 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 17% | 5.84 | – |
Form
Surkhon – last 6
| 23 Oct | @ Buxoro | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Oct | vs Xorazm | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Qizilqum | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Kokand-1912 | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Sep | @ Neftchi | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | @ Bunyodkor | 1–0 | W |
Nasaf – last 6
| 28 Oct | vs Al Kuwait | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Sogdiana | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Lokomotiv | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Oct | vs Al Wahda FC | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Dinamo Samarqand | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Andijan | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
| 20 Mar 2026 | Nasaf v Surkhon | 0–1 |
Super League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 26 | +38 | 61 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 27 | +22 | 59 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 27 | +21 | 55 |
| 4 |  Nasaf | 27 | +15 | 45 |
| 5 |  Olmaliq | 27 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv | 27 | +10 | 43 |
| 7 |  Buxoro | 27 | +4 | 42 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 27 | +2 | 37 |
| 9 |  Qizilqum | 27 | -7 | 35 |
| 10 |  Surkhon | 27 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 |  Andijan | 27 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 |  Sogdiana | 27 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 |  Xorazm | 27 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |  Bunyodkor | 26 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 |  Kokand-1912 | 27 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 27 | -41 | 5 |
More Super League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Surkhon vs Nasaf?
Our pick is Nasaf or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Surkhon vs Nasaf?
On our numbers Surkhon have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nasaf 56%.
How many goals will there be in Surkhon vs Nasaf?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Surkhon vs Nasaf?
Surkhon vs Nasaf (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Surkhon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.