Super League · Uzbekistan · Stadion SurkhonSurkhon vs Xorazm prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Surkhon 1.2 – 1.0 Xorazm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Surkhon hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 33% for Xorazm.
Surkhon have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 0.5 per game. Xorazm have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. Surkhon come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.2 for Surkhon, 1.0 for Xorazm). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Surkhon have won 0, Xorazm have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is close to our fair price of 1.79.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Surkhon to win ✗ | 45% | 2.22 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Surkhon / FT Surkhon ✗ | 24% | 4.16 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.36 | – |
Form
Surkhon – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Qizilqum | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Kokand-1912 | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Sep | @ Neftchi | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | @ Bunyodkor | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs PFK Guliston | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Aug | vs Olmaliq | 0–0 | D |
Xorazm – last 6
| 7 Oct | @ Neftchi | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Sep | vs Qizilqum | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Olmaliq | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Sep | vs Sogdiana | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Sep | @ Olmaliq | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Aug | @ Andijan | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 28 Jul 2026 | Xorazm v Surkhon | 1–0 |
Super League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 26 | +38 | 61 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 27 | +22 | 59 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 27 | +21 | 55 |
| 4 |  Nasaf | 27 | +15 | 45 |
| 5 |  Olmaliq | 27 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv | 27 | +10 | 43 |
| 7 |  Buxoro | 27 | +4 | 42 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 27 | +2 | 37 |
| 9 |  Qizilqum | 27 | -7 | 35 |
| 10 |  Surkhon | 27 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 |  Andijan | 27 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 |  Sogdiana | 27 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 |  Xorazm | 27 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |  Bunyodkor | 26 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 |  Kokand-1912 | 27 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 27 | -41 | 5 |
More Super League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Surkhon vs Xorazm?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Surkhon vs Xorazm?
On our numbers Surkhon have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Xorazm 33%.
How many goals will there be in Surkhon vs Xorazm?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Surkhon vs Xorazm?
Surkhon vs Xorazm (Super League) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Surkhon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.