Super League · Uzbekistan · Dinamo Samarkand StadiumDinamo Samarqand vs Buxoro prediction & analysis
Dinamo Samarqand or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Dinamo Samarqand to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Dinamo Samarqand 2.0 – 0.9 Buxoro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Dinamo Samarqand are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 16% for Buxoro.
Dinamo Samarqand have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Buxoro have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for Dinamo Samarqand, 0.9 for Buxoro). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Dinamo Samarqand have won 0, Buxoro have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Dinamo Samarqand or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Dinamo Samarqand to win at 1.83 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Dinamo Samarqand to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.83 ▲ |
| Double chance | Dinamo Samarqand or draw ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.65 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Half-time result | Dinamo Samarqand ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Dinamo Samarqand / FT Dinamo Samarqand ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.27 | – |
Form
Dinamo Samarqand – last 6
| 9 Oct | @ Nasaf | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Sep | @ Navbahor | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Sep | vs Qizilqum | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Kokand-1912 | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | vs Pakhtakor | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | @ Olmaliq | 1–0 | W |
Buxoro – last 6
| 9 Oct | vs Andijan | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Bunyodkor | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Navbahor | 1–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Qizilqum | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Aug | @ Kokand-1912 | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Aug | vs Neftchi | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
| 19 Mar 2026 | Buxoro v Dinamo Samarqand | 3–1 |
Super League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 26 | +38 | 61 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 27 | +22 | 59 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 27 | +21 | 55 |
| 4 |  Nasaf | 27 | +15 | 45 |
| 5 |  Olmaliq | 27 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv | 27 | +10 | 43 |
| 7 |  Buxoro | 27 | +4 | 42 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 27 | +2 | 37 |
| 9 |  Qizilqum | 27 | -7 | 35 |
| 10 |  Surkhon | 27 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 |  Andijan | 27 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 |  Sogdiana | 27 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 |  Xorazm | 27 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |  Bunyodkor | 26 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 |  Kokand-1912 | 27 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 27 | -41 | 5 |
More Super League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Dinamo Samarqand vs Buxoro?
Our pick is Dinamo Samarqand or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Dinamo Samarqand vs Buxoro?
On our numbers Dinamo Samarqand have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Buxoro 16%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Samarqand vs Buxoro?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Dinamo Samarqand vs Buxoro?
Dinamo Samarqand vs Buxoro (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Dinamo Samarkand Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.