Super League · Uzbekistan · Markaziy StadiumNavbahor vs Dinamo Samarqand prediction & analysis
Navbahor to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Navbahor 1.9 – 0.8 Dinamo Samarqand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Navbahor are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 15% for Dinamo Samarqand.
Navbahor have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Dinamo Samarqand have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. Navbahor come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.9 for Navbahor, 0.8 for Dinamo Samarqand). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Navbahor to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.61.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Navbahor to win ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | Navbahor or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Half-time result | Navbahor ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Navbahor / FT Navbahor ✓ | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.38 | – |
Form
Navbahor – last 6
| 11 Sep | @ Buxoro | 4–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Lokomotiv | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Nasaf | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | @ Mash'al | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Nasaf | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs Bunyodkor | 4–3 | W |
Dinamo Samarqand – last 6
| 10 Sep | vs Qizilqum | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Kokand-1912 | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | vs Pakhtakor | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | @ Olmaliq | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs Xorazm | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Aug | @ Lokomotiv | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navbahor and Dinamo Samarqand.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 26 | +38 | 61 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 27 | +22 | 59 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 27 | +21 | 55 |
| 4 |  Nasaf | 27 | +15 | 45 |
| 5 |  Olmaliq | 27 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv | 27 | +10 | 43 |
| 7 |  Buxoro | 27 | +4 | 42 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 27 | +2 | 37 |
| 9 |  Qizilqum | 27 | -7 | 35 |
| 10 |  Surkhon | 27 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 |  Andijan | 27 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 |  Sogdiana | 27 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 |  Xorazm | 27 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |  Bunyodkor | 26 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 |  Kokand-1912 | 27 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 27 | -41 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Navbahor vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Our pick is Navbahor to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Navbahor vs Dinamo Samarqand?
On our numbers Navbahor have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dinamo Samarqand 15%.
How many goals will there be in Navbahor vs Dinamo Samarqand?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Navbahor vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Navbahor vs Dinamo Samarqand (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.