Super League · Uzbekistan · Pakhtakor Central StadiumPakhtakor vs Buxoro prediction & analysis
Pakhtakor to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Pakhtakor 1.8 – 0.7 Buxoro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Pakhtakor are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 14% for Buxoro.
Pakhtakor have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.7 per game. Buxoro have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for Pakhtakor, 0.7 for Buxoro). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Pakhtakor have won 1, Buxoro have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Pakhtakor to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.48.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Pakhtakor to win ✗ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Pakhtakor or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Pakhtakor ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Pakhtakor / FT Pakhtakor ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.59 | – |
Form
Pakhtakor – last 6
| 1 Aug | @ Andijan | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | @ Bunyodkor | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | vs Xorazm | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Jul | vs Lokomotiv | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Apr | vs Nasaf | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Apr | @ Buxoro | 1–0 | W |
Buxoro – last 6
| 1 Aug | vs Lokomotiv | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | @ Andijan | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Jul | vs Bunyodkor | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | @ Neftchi | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | @ Mash'al | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | vs Pakhtakor | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 22 Apr 2026 | Buxoro v Pakhtakor | 0–1 |
Super League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 26 | +38 | 61 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 27 | +22 | 59 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 27 | +21 | 55 |
| 4 |  Nasaf | 27 | +15 | 45 |
| 5 |  Olmaliq | 27 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv | 27 | +10 | 43 |
| 7 |  Buxoro | 27 | +4 | 42 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 27 | +2 | 37 |
| 9 |  Qizilqum | 27 | -7 | 35 |
| 10 |  Surkhon | 27 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 |  Andijan | 27 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 |  Sogdiana | 27 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 |  Xorazm | 27 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |  Bunyodkor | 26 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 |  Kokand-1912 | 27 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 27 | -41 | 5 |
More Super League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Pakhtakor vs Buxoro?
Our pick is Pakhtakor to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Buxoro?
On our numbers Pakhtakor have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Buxoro 14%.
How many goals will there be in Pakhtakor vs Buxoro?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Pakhtakor vs Buxoro?
Pakhtakor vs Buxoro (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.