Elite One · Cameroon · Stade Municipal de MelongAigle Royal de Moungo vs Gazelle prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Value bet: Gazelle to win @ 3.10 – our chance 42% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Aigle Royal de Moungo 1.1 – 1.2 Gazelle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gazelle shade it despite being away from home – 42% to win, against 34% for Aigle Royal de Moungo.
Aigle Royal de Moungo have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 2.2 per game. Gazelle have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded. Gazelle come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.1 for Aigle Royal de Moungo, 1.2 for Gazelle). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 43%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.70. For a bigger price, Gazelle to win at 3.10 is our value angle (42% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gazelle to win ✗ | 42% | 2.41 | 3.10 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gazelle / FT Gazelle ✗ | 22% | 4.46 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.96 | – |
Form
Aigle Royal de Moungo – last 6
| 5 Apr | @ PWD Bamenda | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Mar | vs Panthère | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Mar | vs Unisport Bafang | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Mar | vs Jeunes Fauves | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | vs Fortuna Mfou | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Mar | @ Dynamo de Douala | 0–4 | L |
Gazelle – last 6
| 5 Apr | @ Cotonsport | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Mar | @ Canon | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | @ Stade Renard | 1–4 | L |
| 17 Mar | vs Aigle Royal | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Mar | @ Victoria United | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Feb | @ Unisport Bafang | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aigle Royal de Moungo and Gazelle.
Elite One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colombe | 26 | +34 | 55 |
| 2 |  Dynamo de Douala | 26 | +29 | 55 |
| 3 |  Unisport Bafang | 26 | +7 | 49 |
| 4 |  Cotonsport | 26 | +14 | 44 |
| 5 |  Canon | 26 | +11 | 39 |
| 6 |  Panthère | 26 | +6 | 35 |
| 7 |  PWD Bamenda | 26 | -1 | 34 |
| 8 |  Gazelle | 26 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 |  Victoria United | 26 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 |  Stade Renard | 26 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 |  Aigle Royal de Moungo | 26 | -13 | 30 |
| 12 |  Aigle Royal | 26 | -3 | 29 |
| 13 |  Fortuna Mfou | 26 | -28 | 21 |
| 14 |  Jeunes Fauves | 26 | -40 | 17 |
More Elite One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Aigle Royal de Moungo vs Gazelle?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Aigle Royal de Moungo vs Gazelle?
On our numbers Aigle Royal de Moungo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gazelle 42%.
How many goals will there be in Aigle Royal de Moungo vs Gazelle?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is Aigle Royal de Moungo vs Gazelle?
Aigle Royal de Moungo vs Gazelle (Elite One) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Municipal de Melong.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.