Paraibano · Brazil
Campinense vs Sousa prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
Value bet: Campinense to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Campinense 1.6 – 0.8 Sousa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Campinense hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 19% for Sousa.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.6 for Campinense, 0.8 for Sousa). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (12%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.48 is close to our fair price of 1.51. For a bigger price, Campinense to win at 1.95 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Campinense to win ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Campinense or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | 2.05 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Campinense / FT Campinense ✗ | 35% | 2.87 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 6.95 | – |
Form
Campinense
No recent results on record.
Sousa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Campinense and Sousa.
More Paraibano predictions
Confianca PB3
Pombal EC2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Campinense vs Sousa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Campinense vs Sousa?
On our numbers Campinense have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sousa 19%.
How many goals will there be in Campinense vs Sousa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Campinense vs Sousa?
Campinense vs Sousa (Paraibano) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.