Erovnuli Liga · Georgia · Ramaz Shengelia StadiumTorpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Torpedo Kutaisi 1.2 – 1.3 Rustavi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Torpedo Kutaisi and Rustavi on our numbers – 34% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Torpedo Kutaisi have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.0 per game. Rustavi have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. Rustavi come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for Torpedo Kutaisi, 1.3 for Rustavi). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Torpedo Kutaisi have won 0, Rustavi have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.73.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Rustavi to win ✓ | 40% | 2.48 | 2.38 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Rustavi / FT Rustavi ✓ | 23% | 4.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 11% | 9.51 | – |
Form
Torpedo Kutaisi – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Spaeri | 3–3 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Dinamo Batumi | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | vs Samgurali | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Sep | @ Gagra | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Dinamo Tbilisi | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Meshakhte | 0–2 | L |
Rustavi – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Dila | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Samtredia | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | vs FC Iberia 1999 | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | @ Meshakhte | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Sep | @ Spaeri | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Sep | vs Dinamo Batumi | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 7 Aug 2026 | Rustavi v Torpedo Kutaisi | 1–0 |
| 5 May 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi v Rustavi | 1–1 |
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Batumi | 32 | +16 | 59 |
| 2 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 32 | +13 | 59 |
| 3 |  Dinamo Tbilisi | 32 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 |  Rustavi | 32 | +12 | 56 |
| 5 |  Torpedo Kutaisi | 32 | +9 | 43 |
| 6 |  Dila | 32 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 |  Samgurali | 32 | -14 | 39 |
| 8 |  Spaeri | 32 | -10 | 31 |
| 9 |  Gagra | 32 | -18 | 31 |
| 10 |  Meshakhte | 32 | -28 | 20 |
More Erovnuli Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi?
On our numbers Torpedo Kutaisi have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rustavi 40%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi?
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Ramaz Shengelia Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.