Erovnuli Liga · Georgia · David Petriashvili StadiumGagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gagra 1.1 – 1.4 Torpedo Kutaisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Torpedo Kutaisi shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 33% for Gagra.
Gagra have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Torpedo Kutaisi have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.1 for Gagra, 1.4 for Torpedo Kutaisi). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 2 meetings, Gagra have won 1, Torpedo Kutaisi have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is close to our fair price of 1.67.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Torpedo Kutaisi to win ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Torpedo Kutaisi / FT Torpedo Kutaisi ✗ | 25% | 4.00 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 8.71 | – |
Form
Gagra – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Dila | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs FC Iberia 1999 | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | vs Aragvi Dusheti | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Rustavi | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | vs Spaeri | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Dinamo Batumi | 2–2 | D |
Torpedo Kutaisi – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Dinamo Tbilisi | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Meshakhte | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | vs Dinamo Batumi | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Dila | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Saburtalo | 4–3 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ Rustavi | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 28 May 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi v Gagra | 1–2 |
| 17 Apr 2026 | Gagra v Torpedo Kutaisi | 2–2 |
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Batumi | 32 | +16 | 59 |
| 2 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 32 | +13 | 59 |
| 3 |  Dinamo Tbilisi | 32 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 |  Rustavi | 32 | +12 | 56 |
| 5 |  Torpedo Kutaisi | 32 | +9 | 43 |
| 6 |  Dila | 32 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 |  Samgurali | 32 | -14 | 39 |
| 8 |  Spaeri | 32 | -10 | 31 |
| 9 |  Gagra | 32 | -18 | 31 |
| 10 |  Meshakhte | 32 | -28 | 20 |
More Erovnuli Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
On our numbers Gagra have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Torpedo Kutaisi 46%.
How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.