NWSL Women · USA · Rio Tinto StadiumUtah Royals W vs Kansas City W prediction & analysis
Kansas City W to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Utah Royals W 1.2 – 1.9 Kansas City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Kansas City W shade it despite being away from home – 57% to win, against 26% for Utah Royals W.
Utah Royals W have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Kansas City W have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.2 for Utah Royals W, 1.9 for Kansas City W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Kansas City W to win at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Kansas City W to win ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Half-time result | Kansas City W ahead at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Kansas City W / FT Kansas City W ✓ | 34% | 2.94 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.19 | – |
Form
Utah Royals W – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Racing Louisville W | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | vs North Carolina Courage W | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | vs Angel City W | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Houston Dash W | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Boston Legacy W | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Orlando Pride W | 2–1 | W |
Kansas City W – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Bay FC W | 5–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Denver Summit W | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ San Diego Wave W | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Orlando Pride W | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Bay FC W | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs North Carolina Courage W | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Utah Royals W and Kansas City W.
NWSL Women table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 30 | +16 | 61 |
| 2 |  San Diego Wave W | 30 | +14 | 58 |
| 3 |  Washington Spirit W | 30 | +15 | 55 |
| 4 |  Kansas City W | 30 | +15 | 53 |
| 5 |  Angel City W | 30 | +22 | 52 |
| 6 |  Portland Thorns W | 30 | +9 | 50 |
| 7 |  Utah Royals W | 30 | +5 | 47 |
| 8 |  Seattle Reign FC W | 30 | +4 | 47 |
| 9 |  North Carolina Courage W | 30 | +10 | 45 |
| 10 |  Denver Summit W | 30 | +11 | 41 |
| 11 |  Orlando Pride W | 30 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 |  Houston Dash W | 30 | -6 | 33 |
| 13 |  Boston Legacy W | 30 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 |  Bay FC W | 30 | -17 | 27 |
| 15 |  Racing Louisville W | 30 | -24 | 24 |
| 16 |  Chicago Red Stars W | 30 | -54 | 17 |
More NWSL Women predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Utah Royals W vs Kansas City W?
Our pick is Kansas City W to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Utah Royals W vs Kansas City W?
On our numbers Utah Royals W have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Kansas City W 57%.
How many goals will there be in Utah Royals W vs Kansas City W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Utah Royals W vs Kansas City W?
Utah Royals W vs Kansas City W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Rio Tinto Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.