NWSL Women · USA · Shell Energy StadiumHouston Dash W vs Utah Royals W prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Houston Dash W 1.4 – 1.5 Utah Royals W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Houston Dash W and Utah Royals W on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Houston Dash W have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Utah Royals W have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 2.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.4 for Houston Dash W, 1.5 for Utah Royals W). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Houston Dash W have won 0, Utah Royals W have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.29.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Utah Royals W to win ✓ | 41% | 2.45 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Utah Royals W / FT Utah Royals W ✗ | 23% | 4.28 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.56 | – |
Form
Houston Dash W – last 6
| 7 Sep | @ Orlando Pride W | 1–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ Seattle Reign FC W | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ Bay FC W | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Aug | vs Chicago Red Stars W | 5–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | @ North Carolina Courage W | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Aug | vs Kansas City W | 1–1 | D |
Utah Royals W – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Boston Legacy W | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Orlando Pride W | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ San Diego Wave W | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Bay FC W | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Denver Summit W | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Aug | vs Portland Thorns W | 5–1 | W |
Head to head
| 7 May 2026 | Utah Royals W v Houston Dash W | 2–0 |
NWSL Women table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 30 | +16 | 61 |
| 2 |  San Diego Wave W | 30 | +14 | 58 |
| 3 |  Washington Spirit W | 30 | +15 | 55 |
| 4 |  Kansas City W | 30 | +15 | 53 |
| 5 |  Angel City W | 30 | +22 | 52 |
| 6 |  Portland Thorns W | 30 | +9 | 50 |
| 7 |  Utah Royals W | 30 | +5 | 47 |
| 8 |  Seattle Reign FC W | 30 | +4 | 47 |
| 9 |  North Carolina Courage W | 30 | +10 | 45 |
| 10 |  Denver Summit W | 30 | +11 | 41 |
| 11 |  Orlando Pride W | 30 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 |  Houston Dash W | 30 | -6 | 33 |
| 13 |  Boston Legacy W | 30 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 |  Bay FC W | 30 | -17 | 27 |
| 15 |  Racing Louisville W | 30 | -24 | 24 |
| 16 |  Chicago Red Stars W | 30 | -54 | 17 |
More NWSL Women predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Houston Dash W vs Utah Royals W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Houston Dash W vs Utah Royals W?
On our numbers Houston Dash W have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Utah Royals W 41%.
How many goals will there be in Houston Dash W vs Utah Royals W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Houston Dash W vs Utah Royals W?
Houston Dash W vs Utah Royals W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 01:45 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.