NWSL Women · USA · Snapdragon StadiumSan Diego Wave W vs North Carolina Courage W prediction & analysis
San Diego Wave W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: San Diego Wave W 2.0 – 1.0 North Carolina Courage W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
San Diego Wave W are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 23% for North Carolina Courage W.
San Diego Wave W have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. North Carolina Courage W have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 3.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for San Diego Wave W, 1.0 for North Carolina Courage W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is San Diego Wave W to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | San Diego Wave W to win ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Half-time result | San Diego Wave W ahead at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT San Diego Wave W / FT San Diego Wave W ✓ | 37% | 2.67 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 10% | 10.05 | – |
Form
San Diego Wave W – last 6
| 7 Sep | @ Seattle Reign FC W | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Racing Louisville W | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Utah Royals W | 4–2 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Denver Summit W | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ NJNY Gotham FC W | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Aug | @ Washington Spirit W | 1–0 | W |
North Carolina Courage W – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ Chicago Red Stars W | 6–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Kansas City W | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | vs Angel City W | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Boston Legacy W | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | vs Houston Dash W | 2–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Washington Spirit W | 4–3 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Diego Wave W and North Carolina Courage W.
NWSL Women table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 30 | +16 | 61 |
| 2 |  San Diego Wave W | 30 | +14 | 58 |
| 3 |  Washington Spirit W | 30 | +15 | 55 |
| 4 |  Kansas City W | 30 | +15 | 53 |
| 5 |  Angel City W | 30 | +22 | 52 |
| 6 |  Portland Thorns W | 30 | +9 | 50 |
| 7 |  Utah Royals W | 30 | +5 | 47 |
| 8 |  Seattle Reign FC W | 30 | +4 | 47 |
| 9 |  North Carolina Courage W | 30 | +10 | 45 |
| 10 |  Denver Summit W | 30 | +11 | 41 |
| 11 |  Orlando Pride W | 30 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 |  Houston Dash W | 30 | -6 | 33 |
| 13 |  Boston Legacy W | 30 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 |  Bay FC W | 30 | -17 | 27 |
| 15 |  Racing Louisville W | 30 | -24 | 24 |
| 16 |  Chicago Red Stars W | 30 | -54 | 17 |
More NWSL Women predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for San Diego Wave W vs North Carolina Courage W?
Our pick is San Diego Wave W to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win San Diego Wave W vs North Carolina Courage W?
On our numbers San Diego Wave W have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 13% and North Carolina Courage W 23%.
How many goals will there be in San Diego Wave W vs North Carolina Courage W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is San Diego Wave W vs North Carolina Courage W?
San Diego Wave W vs North Carolina Courage W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Snapdragon Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.