NWSL Women · USA · WakeMed Soccer ParkNorth Carolina Courage W vs Houston Dash W prediction & analysis
North Carolina Courage W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: North Carolina Courage W 2.1 – 0.8 Houston Dash W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
North Carolina Courage W are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 12% for Houston Dash W.
North Carolina Courage W have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 per game. Houston Dash W have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.1 for North Carolina Courage W, 0.8 for Houston Dash W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, North Carolina Courage W have won 1, Houston Dash W have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is North Carolina Courage W to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is better than our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | North Carolina Courage W to win ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.53 |
| Double chance | North Carolina Courage W or draw ✗ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.18 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.48 |
| Half-time result | North Carolina Courage W ahead at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT North Carolina Courage W / FT North Carolina Courage W ✗ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.32 | – |
Form
North Carolina Courage W – last 6
| 8 Aug | @ Washington Spirit W | 4–3 | W |
| 6 Aug | @ Denver Summit W | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Orlando Pride W | 5–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | vs Utah Royals W | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Jul | @ Bay FC W | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Jul | vs Washington Spirit W | 0–2 | L |
Houston Dash W – last 6
| 9 Aug | vs Kansas City W | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | vs NJNY Gotham FC W | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jul | vs Bay FC W | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Jul | @ Racing Louisville W | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | @ Denver Summit W | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Jul | @ Washington Spirit W | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 26 Apr 2026 | Houston Dash W v North Carolina Courage W | 0–1 |
NWSL Women table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 30 | +16 | 61 |
| 2 |  San Diego Wave W | 30 | +14 | 58 |
| 3 |  Washington Spirit W | 30 | +15 | 55 |
| 4 |  Kansas City W | 30 | +15 | 53 |
| 5 |  Angel City W | 30 | +22 | 52 |
| 6 |  Portland Thorns W | 30 | +9 | 50 |
| 7 |  Utah Royals W | 30 | +5 | 47 |
| 8 |  Seattle Reign FC W | 30 | +4 | 47 |
| 9 |  North Carolina Courage W | 30 | +10 | 45 |
| 10 |  Denver Summit W | 30 | +11 | 41 |
| 11 |  Orlando Pride W | 30 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 |  Houston Dash W | 30 | -6 | 33 |
| 13 |  Boston Legacy W | 30 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 |  Bay FC W | 30 | -17 | 27 |
| 15 |  Racing Louisville W | 30 | -24 | 24 |
| 16 |  Chicago Red Stars W | 30 | -54 | 17 |
More NWSL Women predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for North Carolina Courage W vs Houston Dash W?
Our pick is North Carolina Courage W to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win North Carolina Courage W vs Houston Dash W?
On our numbers North Carolina Courage W have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Houston Dash W 12%.
How many goals will there be in North Carolina Courage W vs Houston Dash W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is North Carolina Courage W vs Houston Dash W?
North Carolina Courage W vs Houston Dash W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at WakeMed Soccer Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.