NWSL Women · USA · America First FieldUtah Royals W vs Bay FC W prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Utah Royals W 1.9 – 0.9 Bay FC W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Utah Royals W are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 18% for Bay FC W.
Utah Royals W have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Bay FC W have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.9 for Utah Royals W, 0.9 for Bay FC W). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.30.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Utah Royals W to win ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.53 |
| Double chance | Utah Royals W or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.45 |
| Half-time result | Utah Royals W ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.30 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Utah Royals W / FT Utah Royals W ✗ | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.44 | – |
Form
Utah Royals W – last 6
| 9 Aug | @ Denver Summit W | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Aug | vs Portland Thorns W | 5–1 | W |
| 30 Jul | vs Washington Spirit W | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | @ North Carolina Courage W | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Jul | vs Orlando Pride W | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Jul | vs NJNY Gotham FC W | 1–3 | L |
Bay FC W – last 6
| 10 Aug | @ Chicago Red Stars W | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Aug | vs Seattle Reign FC W | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Jul | vs NJNY Gotham FC W | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jul | @ Houston Dash W | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Jul | vs North Carolina Courage W | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Jul | @ Racing Louisville W | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Utah Royals W and Bay FC W.
NWSL Women table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 30 | +16 | 61 |
| 2 |  San Diego Wave W | 30 | +14 | 58 |
| 3 |  Washington Spirit W | 30 | +15 | 55 |
| 4 |  Kansas City W | 30 | +15 | 53 |
| 5 |  Angel City W | 30 | +22 | 52 |
| 6 |  Portland Thorns W | 30 | +9 | 50 |
| 7 |  Utah Royals W | 30 | +5 | 47 |
| 8 |  Seattle Reign FC W | 30 | +4 | 47 |
| 9 |  North Carolina Courage W | 30 | +10 | 45 |
| 10 |  Denver Summit W | 30 | +11 | 41 |
| 11 |  Orlando Pride W | 30 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 |  Houston Dash W | 30 | -6 | 33 |
| 13 |  Boston Legacy W | 30 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 |  Bay FC W | 30 | -17 | 27 |
| 15 |  Racing Louisville W | 30 | -24 | 24 |
| 16 |  Chicago Red Stars W | 30 | -54 | 17 |
More NWSL Women predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Utah Royals W vs Bay FC W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Utah Royals W vs Bay FC W?
On our numbers Utah Royals W have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bay FC W 18%.
How many goals will there be in Utah Royals W vs Bay FC W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Utah Royals W vs Bay FC W?
Utah Royals W vs Bay FC W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at America First Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.