NWSL Women · USA · Sports Illustrated StadiumNJNY Gotham FC W vs San Diego Wave W prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: NJNY Gotham FC W 1.3 – 1.0 San Diego Wave W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
NJNY Gotham FC W hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 32% for San Diego Wave W.
NJNY Gotham FC W have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. San Diego Wave W have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. NJNY Gotham FC W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.3 for NJNY Gotham FC W, 1.0 for San Diego Wave W). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, NJNY Gotham FC W have won 0, San Diego Wave W have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.30.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | NJNY Gotham FC W to win ✓ | 46% | 2.16 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.35 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT NJNY Gotham FC W / FT NJNY Gotham FC W ✓ | 25% | 3.97 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 13% | 7.82 | – |
Form
NJNY Gotham FC W – last 6
| 2 Aug | @ Houston Dash W | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Jul | @ Bay FC W | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | @ Portland Thorns W | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jul | vs Seattle Reign FC W | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Jul | vs Washington Spirit W | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Jul | @ Utah Royals W | 3–1 | W |
San Diego Wave W – last 6
| 2 Aug | @ Washington Spirit W | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | vs Seattle Reign FC W | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Jul | @ Kansas City W | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Jul | vs Angel City W | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Jul | vs NJNY Gotham FC W | 2–0 | W |
| 25 May | vs Orlando Pride W | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 5 Jul 2026 | San Diego Wave W v NJNY Gotham FC W | 2–0 |
NWSL Women table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 30 | +16 | 61 |
| 2 |  San Diego Wave W | 30 | +14 | 58 |
| 3 |  Washington Spirit W | 30 | +15 | 55 |
| 4 |  Kansas City W | 30 | +15 | 53 |
| 5 |  Angel City W | 30 | +22 | 52 |
| 6 |  Portland Thorns W | 30 | +9 | 50 |
| 7 |  Utah Royals W | 30 | +5 | 47 |
| 8 |  Seattle Reign FC W | 30 | +4 | 47 |
| 9 |  North Carolina Courage W | 30 | +10 | 45 |
| 10 |  Denver Summit W | 30 | +11 | 41 |
| 11 |  Orlando Pride W | 30 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 |  Houston Dash W | 30 | -6 | 33 |
| 13 |  Boston Legacy W | 30 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 |  Bay FC W | 30 | -17 | 27 |
| 15 |  Racing Louisville W | 30 | -24 | 24 |
| 16 |  Chicago Red Stars W | 30 | -54 | 17 |
More NWSL Women predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for NJNY Gotham FC W vs San Diego Wave W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win NJNY Gotham FC W vs San Diego Wave W?
On our numbers NJNY Gotham FC W have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Diego Wave W 32%.
How many goals will there be in NJNY Gotham FC W vs San Diego Wave W?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is NJNY Gotham FC W vs San Diego Wave W?
NJNY Gotham FC W vs San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.