Ettan Norra · Sweden · Sollentunavallen
Sollentuna
Arlanda
Sollentuna vs Arlanda prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
Value bet: Arlanda to win @ 1.93 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sollentuna 1.1 – 1.8 Arlanda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Arlanda shade it despite being away from home – 57% to win, against 26% for Sollentuna.
Sollentuna have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Arlanda have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.5 conceded. Arlanda come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.1 for Sollentuna, 1.8 for Arlanda). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Sollentuna have won 0, Arlanda have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.42 is close to our fair price of 1.52. For a bigger price, Arlanda to win at 1.93 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Arlanda to win ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.93 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.15 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.42 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Arlanda / FT Arlanda ✗ | 33% | 3.03 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 9.85 | – |
Form
Sollentuna – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Umeå FC | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Vasalund | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Piteå | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | vs Stocksund | 3–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | @ Karlberg | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Stockholm Internazionale | 1–2 | L |
Arlanda – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs AFC Eskilstuna | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Assyriska FF | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Järfälla | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ IF Karlstad | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Vasalund | 4–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Enköping | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 9 May 2026 | Arlanda v Sollentuna | 1–1 |
More Ettan Norra predictions
AFC Eskilstuna0
Enköping1
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
68%@1.30
✗
FT
Assyriska FF1
Hammarby Talang2
2Hammarby Talang to win
62%@1.93
✓
FT
Gefle IF7
Karlberg0
1Gefle IF to win
64%@1.85
✓
FT
Järfälla2
Vasalund3
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
70%@1.29
✓
FT
IF Karlstad2
Umeå FC2
1IF Karlstad to win
62%@1.73
✗
FT
Stockholm Internazionale3
Piteå0
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
69%@1.27
✓
FT
Stocksund3
FBK Karlstad2
2FBK Karlstad to win
69%@1.48
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sollentuna vs Arlanda?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Sollentuna vs Arlanda?
On our numbers Sollentuna have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Arlanda 57%.
How many goals will there be in Sollentuna vs Arlanda?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Sollentuna vs Arlanda?
Sollentuna vs Arlanda (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sollentunavallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.