Ettan Norra · Sweden · Sola Arena
IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC prediction & analysis
IF Karlstad to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: IF Karlstad 2.0 – 1.0 Umeå FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
IF Karlstad are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 19% for Umeå FC.
IF Karlstad have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Umeå FC have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Umeå FC come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for IF Karlstad, 1.0 for Umeå FC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, IF Karlstad have won 1, Umeå FC have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is IF Karlstad to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is better than our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | IF Karlstad to win ✗ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.47 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.11 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.47 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.53 |
| Half-time result | IF Karlstad ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT IF Karlstad / FT IF Karlstad ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.99 | – |
Form
IF Karlstad – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Vasalund | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Stockholm Internazionale | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Hammarby Talang | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Arlanda | 3–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Piteå | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Karlberg | 1–1 | D |
Umeå FC – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Sollentuna | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Karlberg | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Assyriska FF | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Järfälla | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Hammarby Talang | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs FBK Karlstad | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
| 24 May 2026 | Umeå FC v IF Karlstad | 0–2 |
More Ettan Norra predictions
AFC Eskilstuna0
Enköping1
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
68%@1.30
✗
FT
Assyriska FF1
Hammarby Talang2
2Hammarby Talang to win
62%@1.93
✓
FT
Gefle IF7
Karlberg0
1Gefle IF to win
64%@1.85
✓
FT
Järfälla2
Vasalund3
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
70%@1.29
✓
FT
Sollentuna2
Arlanda1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
66%@1.42
✓
FT
Stockholm Internazionale3
Piteå0
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
69%@1.27
✓
FT
Stocksund3
FBK Karlstad2
2FBK Karlstad to win
69%@1.48
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
Our pick is IF Karlstad to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
On our numbers IF Karlstad have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Umeå FC 19%.
How many goals will there be in IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sola Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.