Primera C · ArgentinaClaypole vs Deportivo Español prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Value bet: Deportivo Español to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Claypole 0.9 – 1.0 Deportivo Español expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Deportivo Español shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 32% for Claypole.
Claypole have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Deportivo Español have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.2 conceded. Deportivo Español come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.9 goals (0.9 for Claypole, 1.0 for Deportivo Español). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–1 (16%), 0–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Claypole have won 0, Deportivo Español have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.48. For a bigger price, Deportivo Español to win at 2.50 is our value angle (43% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Deportivo Español to win ✗ | 43% | 2.35 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✓ | 23% | 4.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 16% | 6.37 | – |
Form
Claypole – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Central Cordoba | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | vs Yupanqui | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Sep | vs Sacachispas | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs Central Ballester | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ El Porvenir | 2–4 | L |
| 24 Aug | vs Fénix | 0–0 | D |
Deportivo Español – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Central Ballester | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | @ El Porvenir | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Sep | @ Mercedes | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Fénix | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Sportivo Barracas | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | vs Lujan | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 6 Jun 2026 | Deportivo Español v Claypole | 1–0 |
Primera C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lujan | 32 | +24 | 64 |
| 2 |  Canuelas | 32 | +21 | 61 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Español | 32 | +10 | 52 |
| 4 |  Leones de Rosario | 32 | +6 | 51 |
| 5 |  Central Cordoba | 32 | +9 | 49 |
| 6 |  General Lamadrid | 32 | -4 | 41 |
| 7 |  Sportivo Barracas | 32 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 |  El Porvenir | 32 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 |  Central Ballester | 32 | -5 | 38 |
| 10 |  Atletico Atlas | 32 | -5 | 37 |
| 11 |  Claypole | 32 | -13 | 36 |
| 12 |  Yupanqui | 32 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 |  Fénix | 32 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Muñiz | 32 | -15 | 29 |
More Primera C predictions
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Leandro N. Alem1
Centro Español5Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Claypole vs Deportivo Español?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Claypole vs Deportivo Español?
On our numbers Claypole have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Español 43%.
How many goals will there be in Claypole vs Deportivo Español?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
When is Claypole vs Deportivo Español?
Claypole vs Deportivo Español (Primera C) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.