Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Municipal de Pilar-Carlos BarrazaReal Pilar vs Villa Dalmine prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Real Pilar 0.9 – 0.9 Villa Dalmine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Real Pilar and Villa Dalmine on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 27% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Real Pilar have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Villa Dalmine have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. Real Pilar come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.9 goals (0.9 for Real Pilar, 0.9 for Villa Dalmine). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Most likely scores: 0–0 (16%), 1–0 (15%), 0–1 (14%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.87.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Real Pilar to win ✓ | 37% | 2.67 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.87 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 24% | 4.22 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.72 | – |
Form
Real Pilar – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Excursionistas | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Arsenal Sarandi | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Argentino de Merlo | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Talleres Remedios | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Deportivo Laferrere | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | vs Brown DE Adrogue | 2–0 | W |
Villa Dalmine – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs UAI Urquiza | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Ituzaingó | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Excursionistas | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Arsenal Sarandi | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Argentino de Merlo | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Aug | vs Talleres Remedios | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Pilar and Villa Dalmine.
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 42 | +36 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 42 | +28 | 77 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Italiano | 42 | +15 | 72 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 42 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 42 | +15 | 70 |
| 6 |  Villa Dalmine | 42 | +12 | 68 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 42 | +4 | 66 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 42 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 42 | +5 | 60 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |  Villa San Carlos | 42 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  San Martín Burzaco | 42 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Argentino de Merlo | 42 | -6 | 50 |
| 14 |  Flandria | 42 | -10 | 49 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Merlo | 42 | -15 | 49 |
| 16 |  Liniers | 42 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 |  Argentino Quilmes | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  Dock Sud | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 42 | -12 | 46 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 42 | -10 | 45 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 42 | -41 | 17 |
More Primera B Metropolitana predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine?
On our numbers Real Pilar have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Villa Dalmine 35%.
How many goals will there be in Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine?
Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.