Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Excursionistas StadiumExcursionistas vs Ituzaingó prediction & analysis
Excursionistas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Excursionistas 1.6 – 0.6 Ituzaingó expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Excursionistas are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 17% for Ituzaingó.
Excursionistas have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Ituzaingó have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 0.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. Excursionistas come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.6 for Excursionistas, 0.6 for Ituzaingó). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 2–0 (14%), 0–0 (11%).
Our pick is Excursionistas to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.54.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Excursionistas to win ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.25 |
| Double chance | Excursionistas or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Excursionistas / FT Excursionistas ✗ | 38% | 2.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.69 | – |
Form
Excursionistas – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Arsenal Sarandi | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Aug | vs Argentino de Merlo | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Talleres Remedios | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Deportivo Laferrere | 5–3 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Brown DE Adrogue | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Deportivo Armenio | 2–1 | W |
Ituzaingó – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs Dock Sud | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | @ Arsenal Sarandi | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Deportivo Merlo | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Argentino de Merlo | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Aug | vs Deportivo Camioneros | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Aug | @ Talleres Remedios | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Excursionistas and Ituzaingó.
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 42 | +36 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 42 | +28 | 77 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Italiano | 42 | +15 | 72 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 42 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 42 | +15 | 70 |
| 6 |  Villa Dalmine | 42 | +12 | 68 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 42 | +4 | 66 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 42 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 42 | +5 | 60 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |  Villa San Carlos | 42 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  San Martín Burzaco | 42 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Argentino de Merlo | 42 | -6 | 50 |
| 14 |  Flandria | 42 | -10 | 49 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Merlo | 42 | -15 | 49 |
| 16 |  Liniers | 42 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 |  Argentino Quilmes | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  Dock Sud | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 42 | -12 | 46 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 42 | -10 | 45 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 42 | -41 | 17 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó?
Our pick is Excursionistas to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó?
On our numbers Excursionistas have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ituzaingó 17%.
How many goals will there be in Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó?
Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Excursionistas Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.