Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Estadio Lorenzo ArandillaBrown DE Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Brown DE Adrogue 1.1 – 0.7 UAI Urquiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Brown DE Adrogue hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 28% for UAI Urquiza.
Brown DE Adrogue have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. UAI Urquiza have 4 points from their last 6 (0W 4D 2L), averaging 0.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 1.8 goals (1.1 for Brown DE Adrogue, 0.7 for UAI Urquiza). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 0–0 (17%), 1–1 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Brown DE Adrogue have won 1, UAI Urquiza have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.42 is close to our fair price of 1.44.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Brown DE Adrogue to win ✗ | 48% | 2.06 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.44 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Brown DE Adrogue / FT Brown DE Adrogue ✗ | 25% | 4.05 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.52 | – |
Form
Brown DE Adrogue – last 6
| 15 Aug | @ Villa Dalmine | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Excursionistas | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Jul | @ Arsenal Sarandi | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | vs Argentino de Merlo | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Jul | @ Talleres Remedios | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Jul | vs Deportivo Laferrere | 0–1 | L |
UAI Urquiza – last 6
| 16 Aug | vs Deportivo Armenio | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Flandria | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Argentino Quilmes | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Jul | @ Defensores Unidos | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Jul | vs Comunicaciones | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Jul | @ Dock Sud | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 10 Apr 2026 | UAI Urquiza v Brown DE Adrogue | 0–1 |
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 42 | +36 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 42 | +28 | 77 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Italiano | 42 | +15 | 72 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 42 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 42 | +15 | 70 |
| 6 |  Villa Dalmine | 42 | +12 | 68 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 42 | +4 | 66 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 42 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 42 | +5 | 60 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |  Villa San Carlos | 42 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  San Martín Burzaco | 42 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Argentino de Merlo | 42 | -6 | 50 |
| 14 |  Flandria | 42 | -10 | 49 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Merlo | 42 | -15 | 49 |
| 16 |  Liniers | 42 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 |  Argentino Quilmes | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  Dock Sud | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 42 | -12 | 46 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 42 | -10 | 45 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 42 | -41 | 17 |
More Primera B Metropolitana predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Brown DE Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Brown DE Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza?
On our numbers Brown DE Adrogue have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UAI Urquiza 28%.
How many goals will there be in Brown DE Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Brown DE Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza?
Brown DE Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.