The Liga Nacional sees Marquense take on Mictlán on Sunday 12 April, kicking off at 04:00 (WAT) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada. Marquense are 8th with 30 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Mictlán sit 9th on 27 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Marquense's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Mixco 1–2 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mictlán's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Antigua GFC 2–8 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Marquense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Mictlán 2–1 Marquense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Marquense and 0.7 for Mictlán. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Marquense 1–0 Mictlán. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marquense60%fair 1.67 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.60
Mictlán17%fair 5.99 · @5.10
2.39Expected goals
1.66Marquense xG
0.73Mictlán xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Marquense 1.7 – 0.7 Mictlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Marquense vs Mictlán?
On our numbers Marquense have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mictlán 17%.
How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Mictlán?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Mictlán?
Our predicted score is Marquense 1–0 Mictlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Marquense vs Mictlán?
Marquense vs Mictlán (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
