1. Division · Norway · Nadderud Stadion

Stabaek

WWWWD
2–3
FT

Stromsgodset

WLLWW

Stabaek vs Stromsgodset prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds
2

Value bet: Stromsgodset to win @ 2.94 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultStabaek to win ✗40% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.92

Win chances

Stabaek40%fair 2.51 · @2.02
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.98
Stromsgodset39%fair 2.54 · @2.94
3.77Expected goals
1.89Stabaek xG
1.88Stromsgodset xG
70%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–18%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–35%

From our goals model: Stabaek 1.9 – 1.9 Stromsgodset expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Stabaek and Stromsgodset on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Stabaek have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Stromsgodset have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 3.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

We expect around 3.8 goals (1.9 for Stabaek, 1.9 for Stromsgodset). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (8%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Stabaek have won 0, Stromsgodset have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.37. For a bigger price, Stromsgodset to win at 2.94 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStabaek to win ✗40%2.512.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.441.25
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.131.03
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.371.23
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓54%1.851.67
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stabaek / FT Stabaek ✗24%4.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.92–

Form

Stabaek – last 6

WWWWDL
2 Nov@ Kongsvinger2–1W
25 Octvs ODD Ballklubb2–0W
18 Oct@ Asane1–0W
14 Octvs Sandnes ULF4–1W
11 Octvs Strommen2–2D
3 Oct@ Haugesund0–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Stromsgodset – last 6

WLLWWW
1 Novvs Moss3–0W
28 Oct@ Molde1–4L
25 Oct@ Strommen0–1L
18 Octvs Haugesund5–0W
14 Octvs Kongsvinger5–1W
11 Oct@ Lyn5–1W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Stromsgodset v Stabaek2–1

More 1. Division predictions

FT Bryne3 Kongsvinger1 402139 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.33 ✓ FT Haugesund2 ODD Ballklubb3 682210 1Haugesund to win 68%@1.43 ✗ FT Moss3 Ranheim1 372142 GGBoth teams to score 73%@1.31 ✓ FT Raufoss0 Egersund2 171964 2Egersund to win 64%@1.62 ✓ FT Sandnes ULF3 Asane1 671914 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 67%@1.35 ✓ FT Sogndal0 hodd0 70219 1Sogndal to win 70%@1.40 ✗ FT Strommen2 Lyn0 392139 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.32 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stabaek vs Stromsgodset?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Stabaek vs Stromsgodset?

On our numbers Stabaek have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stromsgodset 39%.

How many goals will there be in Stabaek vs Stromsgodset?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

When is Stabaek vs Stromsgodset?

Stabaek vs Stromsgodset (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Nadderud Stadion.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.