Bryne vs Kongsvinger prediction & analysis

Very little separates Bryne and Kongsvinger on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Bryne have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.8 per game. Kongsvinger have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 2.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.

We expect around 3.6 goals (1.8 for Bryne, 1.8 for Kongsvinger). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Bryne have won 0, Kongsvinger have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.45. For a bigger price, Kongsvinger to win at 2.72 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).