Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStabaek to win ✗68% · @1.33
Double chanceStabaek or draw ✗87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Stabaek vs Moss preview and prediction
The match
Stabaek host Moss in the 1. Division on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Nadderud Stadion. Stabaek are 4th with 58 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Moss sit 13th on 32 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Stabaek's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to hodd 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Moss's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Strommen 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Stabaek arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished Moss 2–2 Stabaek. Across their last 2 meetings Stabaek have won 1, Moss 0, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.7 for Stabaek and 1.2 for Moss. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stabaek 68%, draw 19%, Moss 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Stabaek 2–1 Moss. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stabaek68%fair 1.48 · @1.33
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @5.00
Moss13%fair 7.63 · @6.00
3.83Expected goals
2.66Stabaek xG
1.17Moss xG
68%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Stabaek 2.7 – 1.2 Moss expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Stabaek vs Moss?
On our numbers Stabaek have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Moss 13%.
How many goals will there be in Stabaek vs Moss?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stabaek vs Moss?
Our predicted score is Stabaek 2–1 Moss, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Stabaek vs Moss?
Stabaek vs Moss (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Nadderud Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
