Allsvenskan · Sweden · Guldfågeln Arena

Kalmar FF

DLLWL

1–0

Sirius

WLLDW

Kalmar FF vs Sirius prediction & analysis

78%

Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating

1.22Odds

Value bet: Sirius to win @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultSirius to win ✗53% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.35

Win chances

Kalmar FF28%fair 3.64 · @3.30

Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.75

Sirius53%fair 1.88 · @2.00

2.90Expected goals

1.16Kalmar FF xG

1.74Sirius xG

59%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%

1–210%

0–110%

0–28%

2–16%

1–06%

From our goals model: Kalmar FF 1.2 – 1.7 Sirius expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Sirius shade it despite being away from home – 53% to win, against 28% for Kalmar FF.

Kalmar FF have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Sirius have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. Sirius come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.9 goals (1.2 for Kalmar FF, 1.7 for Sirius). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (10%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Sirius to win at 2.00 is our value angle (53% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sirius to win ✗	53%	1.88	2.00 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	81%	1.24	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	59%	1.70	1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	78%	1.29	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.81	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.52	1.44
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.50	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sirius / FT Sirius ✗	31%	3.20	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.35	–

Form

Kalmar FF – last 6

DLLWLD

2 Nov	@ Mjallby AIF	0–0	D
29 Oct	vs Gais	0–1	L
24 Oct	vs IF Brommapojkarna	0–3	L
19 Oct	@ Degerfors IF	2–1	W
12 Oct	@ Malmo FF	0–1	L
6 Oct	@ IFK Norrkoping	0–0	D

0.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Sirius – last 6

WLLDWW

3 Nov	vs Halmstad	2–0	W
29 Oct	@ Hammarby FF	0–2	L
24 Oct	vs AIK Stockholm	1–2	L
18 Oct	vs IF Elfsborg	2–2	D
10 Oct	@ Gais	1–0	W
19 Sep	@ Orgryte IS	2–1	W

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kalmar FF and Sirius.

More Allsvenskan predictions

IFK Goteborg0

Malmo FF0 352342 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗ FT

Halmstad2

Djurgardens IF1 112068 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓ FT

AIK Stockholm3

BK Hacken2 131968 2BK Hacken to win 68%@1.55 ✗ FT

IF Brommapojkarna0

Mjallby AIF0 382339 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kalmar FF vs Sirius?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Kalmar FF vs Sirius?

On our numbers Kalmar FF have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sirius 53%.

How many goals will there be in Kalmar FF vs Sirius?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Kalmar FF vs Sirius?

Kalmar FF vs Sirius (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Guldfågeln Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.