Allsvenskan · Sweden · Gamla Ullevi

IFK Goteborg

LDDDW
0–0
FT

Malmo FF

LWDLW

IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF prediction & analysis

79%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Malmo FF to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultMalmo FF to win ✗42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.37

Win chances

IFK Goteborg35%fair 2.84 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Malmo FF42%fair 2.39 · @2.60
2.93Expected goals
1.39IFK Goteborg xG
1.54Malmo FF xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: IFK Goteborg 1.4 – 1.5 Malmo FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates IFK Goteborg and Malmo FF on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

IFK Goteborg have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Malmo FF have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded.

We expect around 2.9 goals (1.4 for IFK Goteborg, 1.5 for Malmo FF). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, IFK Goteborg have won 0, Malmo FF have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.27. For a bigger price, Malmo FF to win at 2.60 is our value angle (42% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMalmo FF to win ✗42%2.392.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.801.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.44
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Malmo FF / FT Malmo FF ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.37–

Form

IFK Goteborg – last 6

LDDDWW
1 Nov@ BK Hacken0–1L
28 Octvs Djurgardens IF1–1D
25 Oct@ Gais1–1D
17 Oct@ AIK Stockholm2–2D
9 Octvs Vasteras SK FK1–0W
19 Sep@ IF Brommapojkarna1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Malmo FF – last 6

LWDLWW
1 Novvs Hammarby FF1–2L
28 Oct@ Halmstad3–0W
23 Oct@ IF Elfsborg0–0D
18 Octvs BK Hacken0–1L
12 Octvs Kalmar FF1–0W
3 Octvs FC Nordsjaelland3–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jul 2026Malmo FF v IFK Goteborg4–0

More Allsvenskan predictions

FT Halmstad2 Djurgardens IF1 112068 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓ FT AIK Stockholm3 BK Hacken2 131968 2BK Hacken to win 68%@1.55 ✗ FT IF Brommapojkarna0 Mjallby AIF0 382339 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✗ FT Kalmar FF1 Sirius0 281953 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF?

On our numbers IFK Goteborg have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Malmo FF 42%.

How many goals will there be in IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

When is IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF?

IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Gamla Ullevi.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.