Allsvenskan · Sweden · StrandvallenMjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF prediction & analysis
Mjallby AIF or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Mjallby AIF to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mjallby AIF 1.9 – 0.8 Degerfors IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mjallby AIF are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 15% for Degerfors IF.
Mjallby AIF have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. Degerfors IF have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 for Mjallby AIF, 0.8 for Degerfors IF). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Mjallby AIF or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Mjallby AIF to win at 1.91 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mjallby AIF to win ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Mjallby AIF or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Half-time result | Mjallby AIF ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mjallby AIF / FT Mjallby AIF ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.67 | – |
Form
Mjallby AIF – last 6
| 6 Oct | @ Trollhättan | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Gais | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ AIK Stockholm | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | @ BK Hacken | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Sep | vs IFK Goteborg | 1–4 | L |
| 3 Sep | vs Djurgardens IF | 0–2 | L |
Degerfors IF – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ IK brage | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Hammarby FF | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | @ Sirius | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Halmstad | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ IF Elfsborg | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ IF Brommapojkarna | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mjallby AIF and Degerfors IF.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hammarby FF | 28 | +37 | 58 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 28 | +23 | 58 |
| 3 |  Djurgardens IF | 28 | +29 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Hacken | 28 | +17 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 28 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |  Vasteras SK FK | 28 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |  Malmo FF | 28 | +6 | 41 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 28 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 |  Gais | 28 | +8 | 40 |
| 10 |  IFK Goteborg | 28 | -10 | 39 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 28 | -5 | 35 |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 28 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 28 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 28 | -25 | 20 |
| 15 |  Orgryte IS | 28 | -27 | 20 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 28 | -32 | 20 |
More Allsvenskan predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF?
Our pick is Mjallby AIF or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF?
On our numbers Mjallby AIF have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Degerfors IF 15%.
How many goals will there be in Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF?
Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Strandvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.