USL League One · USA · Fitzpatrick StadiumPortland Hearts of Pine vs Alta prediction & analysis
Portland Hearts of Pine or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Portland Hearts of Pine to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Portland Hearts of Pine 1.9 – 1.0 Alta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Portland Hearts of Pine hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 19% for Alta.
Portland Hearts of Pine have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.0 per game. Alta have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 for Portland Hearts of Pine, 1.0 for Alta). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Portland Hearts of Pine have won 0, Alta have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Portland Hearts of Pine or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.24. For a bigger price, Portland Hearts of Pine to win at 1.91 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Portland Hearts of Pine to win ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Portland Hearts of Pine or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Half-time result | Portland Hearts of Pine ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Portland Hearts of Pine / FT Portland Hearts of Pine ✗ | 37% | 2.70 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.06 | – |
Form
Portland Hearts of Pine – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Westchester SC | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Sep | @ Charlotte Independence | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Fort Wayne | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ Richmond Kickers | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Aug | @ One Knoxville | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | vs Forward Madison | 1–2 | L |
Alta – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs One Knoxville | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Charlotte Independence | 0–5 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Naples | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | @ NY Cosmos | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Aug | vs Fort Wayne | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Aug | @ Naples | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 22 Mar 2026 | Alta v Portland Hearts of Pine | 0–0 |
USL League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Independence | 32 | +28 | 66 |
| 2 |  Union Omaha | 32 | +20 | 62 |
| 3 |  Boise | 32 | +10 | 58 |
| 4 |  Forward Madison | 32 | +24 | 56 |
| 5 |  Spokane Velocity | 32 | +6 | 54 |
| 6 |  One Knoxville | 32 | +16 | 54 |
| 7 |  Chattanooga Red Wolves | 32 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Naples | 32 | -7 | 46 |
| 9 |  Fort Wayne | 32 | +5 | 45 |
| 10 |  Westchester SC | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 11 |  Sarasota Paradise | 32 | -2 | 40 |
| 12 |  Corpus Christi | 32 | -15 | 37 |
| 13 |  Alta | 32 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 32 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 |  Greenville Triumph | 32 | -23 | 30 |
| 16 |  NY Cosmos | 32 | -26 | 27 |
| 17 |  Richmond Kickers | 32 | -28 | 26 |
More USL League One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Alta?
Our pick is Portland Hearts of Pine or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Portland Hearts of Pine vs Alta?
On our numbers Portland Hearts of Pine have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alta 19%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Hearts of Pine vs Alta?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Portland Hearts of Pine vs Alta?
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Alta (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Fitzpatrick Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.