Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Spokane Velocity or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Spokane Velocity to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpokane Velocity to win ✓65% · @1.80
Double chanceSpokane Velocity or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph preview and prediction
The match
Spokane Velocity host Greenville Triumph in the USL League One on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at One Spokane Stadium. Spokane Velocity are 5th with 54 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Greenville Triumph sit 15th on 30 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Spokane Velocity's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Corpus Christi 2–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Greenville Triumph's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with One Knoxville 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Spokane Velocity arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Spokane Velocity and 0.8 for Greenville Triumph. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Safer route: Spokane Velocity or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Spokane Velocity to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Spokane Velocity or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Spokane Velocity 1–0 Greenville Triumph. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spokane Velocity65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.30
Greenville Triumph14%fair 7.02 · @3.60
2.74Expected goals
1.96Spokane Velocity xG
0.78Greenville Triumph xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Spokane Velocity 2.0 – 0.8 Greenville Triumph expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spokane Velocity to win✓
65%
1.54
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Spokane Velocity or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Spokane Velocity ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spokane Velocity / FT Spokane Velocity✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.91
–
Form
Spokane Velocity – last 6
LDWWWW
16 Aug
vs Corpus Christi
2–3
L
13 Aug
vs Colorado Springs
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Fort Wayne
3–1
W
23 Jul
vs Charlotte Independence
3–0
W
19 Jul
@ Richmond Kickers
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Oakland Roots
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Greenville Triumph – last 6
DDLDWL
16 Aug
vs One Knoxville
1–1
D
13 Aug
@ Forward Madison
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Charlotte Independence
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Portland Hearts of Pine
3–3
D
30 Jul
vs Boise
3–2
W
26 Jul
@ Corpus Christi
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spokane Velocity and Greenville Triumph.
What is the prediction for Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph?
Our pick is Spokane Velocity or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph?
On our numbers Spokane Velocity have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Greenville Triumph 14%.
How many goals will there be in Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph?
Our predicted score is Spokane Velocity 1–0 Greenville Triumph, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph?
Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at One Spokane Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
