USL League One · USA · Paradise Coast Sports ComplexNaples vs Alta prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Naples 1.4 – 1.4 Alta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Naples and Alta on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Naples have taken 0 points from their last 6 matches (0W 0D 6L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.3 per game. Alta have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. Alta come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.4 for Naples, 1.4 for Alta). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 63%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.31.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Naples to win ✓ | 40% | 2.51 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Naples / FT Naples ✓ | 22% | 4.47 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 11.28 | – |
Form
Naples – last 6
| 26 Jul | @ Forward Madison | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Jul | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Jul | @ NY Cosmos | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Jul | vs Portland Hearts of Pine | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Jun | @ Chattanooga Red Wolves | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Jun | @ Charlotte Independence | 3–4 | L |
Alta – last 6
| 2 Aug | @ Richmond Kickers | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Jul | vs Westchester SC | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Jul | @ One Knoxville | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Jul | @ Chattanooga Red Wolves | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Jul | vs Phoenix Rising | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Jul | vs Charlotte Independence | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naples and Alta.
USL League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Independence | 32 | +28 | 66 |
| 2 |  Union Omaha | 32 | +20 | 62 |
| 3 |  Boise | 32 | +10 | 58 |
| 4 |  Forward Madison | 32 | +24 | 56 |
| 5 |  Spokane Velocity | 32 | +6 | 54 |
| 6 |  One Knoxville | 32 | +16 | 54 |
| 7 |  Chattanooga Red Wolves | 32 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Naples | 32 | -7 | 46 |
| 9 |  Fort Wayne | 32 | +5 | 45 |
| 10 |  Westchester SC | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 11 |  Sarasota Paradise | 32 | -2 | 40 |
| 12 |  Corpus Christi | 32 | -15 | 37 |
| 13 |  Alta | 32 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 32 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 |  Greenville Triumph | 32 | -23 | 30 |
| 16 |  NY Cosmos | 32 | -26 | 27 |
| 17 |  Richmond Kickers | 32 | -28 | 26 |
More USL League One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Naples vs Alta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Naples vs Alta?
On our numbers Naples have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alta 38%.
How many goals will there be in Naples vs Alta?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Naples vs Alta?
Naples vs Alta (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.